Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 44.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.