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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Las Palmas

Betis
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Jose (19')
Iglesias (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perrone (33'), El Haddadi (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 44.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawLas Palmas
44.7% (1.046 1.05)27.87% (0.652 0.65)27.43% (-1.699 -1.7)
Both teams to score 45.53% (-2.793 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.17% (-3.076 -3.08)59.83% (3.073 3.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.89% (-2.408 -2.41)80.11% (2.406 2.41)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.877 -0.88)26.68% (0.876 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-1.173 -1.17)61.93% (1.171 1.17)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (-3.033 -3.03)37.9% (3.031 3.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33% (-3.066 -3.07)74.67% (3.064 3.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 44.7%
    Las Palmas 27.43%
    Draw 27.87%
Real BetisDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 13.36% (1.18 1.18)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.571 0.57)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 10.11% (1.113 1.11)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.428 -0.43)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.331 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.477 -0.48)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 27.43%

How you voted: Betis vs Las Palmas

Real Betis
78.9%
Draw
17.5%
Las Palmas
3.5%
57
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2018 8.30pm
Betis
1-0
Las Palmas
Firpo (90')
Leon (65'), Mandi (77'), Firpo (90')

Calleri (32'), Gil (35'), Macedo (68'), Navarro (87')
Macedo (86')
Dec 3, 2017 7.45pm
Las Palmas
1-0
Betis
Calleri (19')
Lemos (33')

Joaquin (32'), Camarasa (39'), Barragan (61'), Amat (63'), Feddal (68'), Guardado (70')
Amat (90')
Apr 9, 2017 7.45pm
Las Palmas
4-1
Betis
Gomez (44'), Boateng (50'), Viera (62'), Rodriguez (83' pen.)
Boateng (29'), Lemos (30'), Gomez (38')
Navarro (88')
Tosca (58'), Mandi (65'), Pezzela (74'), Navarro (90')
Nov 18, 2016 7.45pm
Apr 19, 2016 8pm