Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Las Palmas |
35.27% ( -0.01) | 27.14% ( -0.04) | 37.59% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.02% ( 0.14) | 54.97% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.75% ( 0.12) | 76.25% ( -0.11) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( 0.06) | 29.69% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( 0.07) | 65.75% ( -0.07) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( 0.09) | 28.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.99% ( 0.12) | 64.01% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |