Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Aris Limassol win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.