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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin

Betis
4 - 1
Aris Limassol

Iglesias (34'), Ruibal (64'), Roca (79'), Ezzalzouli (90+4')
Rodriguez (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kokorin (84')
Struski (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Betis and Aris Limassol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aris Limassol 0-1 Betis
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Aris Limassol win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawAris Limassol
59.74% (0.059999999999995 0.06)23.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)17.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13% (0.089999999999996 0.09)52.86% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52% (0.077999999999999 0.08)74.48% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (0.054000000000002 0.05)17.38% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (0.095000000000006 0.1)47.79% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Aris Limassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.49% (0.022999999999996 0.02)44.5% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 59.73%
    Aris Limassol 17.02%
    Draw 23.23%
Real BetisDrawAris Limassol
1-0 @ 13.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 59.73%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2%
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.02%

How you voted: Betis vs Aris Limassol

Real Betis
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Aris Limassol
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Aris Limassol
0-1
Betis

Bengtsson (28'), Gomis (55')
Perez (75')
Perez (60'), Guardado (90+3')