Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Limassol win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Limassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Limassol would win this match.