Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for an Aris Limassol win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	Aris Limassol
66.45% ( 0.02)	19.14% ( -0.02)	14.41% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.9% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.65% (

0.06)

40.35% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.28% (

0.06)

62.72% (

-0.07)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.72% (

0.02)

11.28% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.11% (

0.05)

35.89% (

-0.05)

Aris Limassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.63% (

0.03)

40.37% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01% (

0.03)

76.99% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 66.45%

Aris Limassol 14.41%

Draw 19.14%

Sparta Prague	Draw	Aris Limassol
2-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 66.45%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.14%	0-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.41%