Europa League
Sep 21, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Epet Arena
  • Ladislav Krejci 9' yellowcard
  • Ladislav Krejci 20' goal
  • Ladislav Krejci 25' goal
  • Martin Vitik 67' goal
  • Asger Sorensen 69' yellowcard
  • David Pavelka 87' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksandr Kokorin 11'
  • yellowcard A. Shpilevski 25'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Kokorin 69'
  • goal Shavy Babicka 90'

Sparta Prague vs Aris Limassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions

Aris Limassol

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for an Aris Limassol win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result

Sparta Prague 66.45% (+0.02)
Draw 19.14% (-0.02)
Aris Limassol 14.41% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.65% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 40.35% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 37.28% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 62.72% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 20% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 80% (-0.05)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5 88.72% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 11.28% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 64.11% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 35.89% (-0.06)

Aris Limassol Goals

Over 0.5 59.63% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.37% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.01% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 76.99% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Sparta Prague 66.45%
Draw 19.14%
Aris Limassol 14.41%
Sparta Prague
2-0 @ 10.84% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.89% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 66.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 19.14%
Aris Limassol
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 14.41%