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Europa League

Dinamo Zagreb
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 1
Sparta Prague

Spikic (44'), Peric (58'), Ivanusec (61')
Baturina (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Krejci (39' pen.)
Laci (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Last Game: Teplice 1-1 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 19 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawSparta Prague
38.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)26.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)35.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)52.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)74.47% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.97% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)62.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.48% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 38.12%
    Sparta Prague 35.26%
    Draw 26.61%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.12%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.26%

How you voted: Loser Match 3 vs Loser Match 5

Loser Match 3
53.6%
Draw
34.8%
Loser Match 5
11.6%
69