Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a MFK Karvina win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	MFK Karvina
68.98% ( -0.18)	17.6% ( 0.09)	13.42% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.79% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.72% (

-0.22)

35.28% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.7% (

-0.25)

57.3% (

0.25)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.73% (

-0.1)

9.26% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.7% (

-0.24)

31.3% (

0.23)

MFK Karvina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.48% (

-0.02)

38.51% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-0.01)

75.26% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 68.97%

MFK Karvina 13.42%

Draw 17.6%

Sparta Prague	Draw	MFK Karvina
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.54% Total : 68.97%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.6%	1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 13.42%