Czech Liga | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Mestsky Stadion

MFK Karvina
1 - 1
Jablonec

Akinyemi (84')
Papalele (39'), Ezeh (50'), Memic (53'), Raznatovic (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kratochvil (56' pen.)
Houska (13'), Chanturishvili (45+3'), Martinec (48'), Hurtado Palomino (90+2')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between MFK Karvina and FK Baumit Jablonec.

Form, Standings, Stats

MFK Karvina

All competitions
Last Game: Pardubice 2-1 MFK Karvina
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Czech Liga

FK Baumit Jablonec

All competitions
Last Game: Jablonec 1-5 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
MFK KarvinaDrawFK Baumit Jablonec
39.41% (0.15799999999999 0.16)26.01% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)34.58% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.168 0.17)50.38% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (0.149 0.15)72.32% (-0.146 -0.15)
MFK Karvina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (0.163 0.16)25.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (0.22199999999999 0.22)59.83% (-0.22 -0.22)
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)63.49% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    MFK Karvina 39.41%
    FK Baumit Jablonec 34.58%
    Draw 26%
MFK KarvinaDrawFK Baumit Jablonec
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.58%