Czech Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK
AFG Arena

Pardubice
2 - 1
MFK Karvina

Tischler (39'), Matousek (55')
Vacek (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Halinsky (90+3' og.)
Raznatovic (20'), Bohac (36'), Svozil (90+7')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between Pardubice and MFK Karvina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pardubice

All competitions
Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 5-2 Pardubice
Saturday, August 5 at 2pm in Czech Liga

MFK Karvina

All competitions
Last Game: MFK Karvina 1-2 Mlada Boleslav
Saturday, August 5 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pardubice win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pardubice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest MFK Karvina win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pardubice would win this match.

Result
PardubiceDrawMFK Karvina
46.1% (0.106 0.11)24.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)29.1% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (0.124 0.12)47.05% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (0.115 0.11)69.29% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Pardubice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (0.096999999999994 0.1)20.47% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (0.15199999999999 0.15)52.95% (-0.148 -0.15)
MFK Karvina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (0.019000000000005 0.02)65.92% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pardubice 46.1%
    MFK Karvina 29.1%
    Draw 24.79%
PardubiceDrawMFK Karvina
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.1%