Czech Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Mestsky Stadion

MFK Karvina
1 - 2
Mlada Boleslav

Mikus (70')
Svozil (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jawo (6'), Yusuf (19')
Matejovsky (39'), Kadlec (42'), Pulkrab (70'), Ladra (86'), Trmal (90+5')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between MFK Karvina and Mlada Boleslav.

Form, Standings, Stats

MFK Karvina

All competitions
Last Game: Olomouc 3-1 MFK Karvina
Saturday, July 29 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Mlada Boleslav

All competitions
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Slovan Liberec
Sunday, July 30 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
MFK KarvinaDrawMlada Boleslav
41.47% (1.884 1.88)25.97% (0.467 0.47)32.56% (-2.347 -2.35)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-2.152 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (-2.515 -2.51)50.66% (2.52 2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44% (-2.263 -2.26)72.56% (2.266 2.27)
MFK Karvina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)24.18% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (-0.223 -0.22)58.5% (0.226 0.23)
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-2.685 -2.69)29.29% (2.686 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74% (-3.424 -3.42)65.26% (3.426 3.43)
Score Analysis
    MFK Karvina 41.46%
    Mlada Boleslav 32.56%
    Draw 25.97%
MFK KarvinaDrawMlada Boleslav
1-0 @ 10.05% (0.934 0.93)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.157 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.638 0.64)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.287 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.692 0.69)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.235 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.312 -0.31)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.56%