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La Liga

Girona logo
La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Alaves logo

Girona
3 - 0
Alaves

Dovbyk (23', 59' pen.), Portu (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tenaglia (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-4 Girona
Sunday, December 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawAlaves
50.03% (-0.194 -0.19)26.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)23.9% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.347 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (0.335 0.34)55.67% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18% (0.273 0.27)76.82% (-0.271 -0.27)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.054000000000002 0.05)22.31% (-0.052000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.081000000000003 0.08)55.77% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.31% (0.405 0.41)38.69% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.57% (0.387 0.39)75.43% (-0.384 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Girona 50.02%
    Alaves 23.9%
    Draw 26.06%
GironaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 12.94% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 50.02%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.9%

How you voted: Girona vs Alaves

Girona
80.9%
Draw
12.7%
Alaves
6.4%
110
Head to Head
May 18, 2019 7.45pm
Alaves
2-1
Girona
Wakaso (40'), Calleri (83')
Pina (45'), Calleri (55'), Rolan (56')
Portu (86')
Soni (33'), Muniesa (58'), Planas (64')
Jan 12, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Girona
1-1
Alaves
Stuani (12')
Luiz (40'), Stuani (61'), Pons (80'), Porro (90')
Baston (50')
Calleri (21'), Laguardia (52')
Dec 5, 2018 6.30pm
Round of 32
Girona
2-1
Alaves
Granell (74'), Portu (79')
Juanpe (33'), Garcia (82')
Alcala (62' og.)
Dieguez (17'), Guidetti (56'), Marin (68')
Oct 31, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Alaves
2-2
Girona
Sobrino (63'), Aguirregabiria (88')
Dieguez (90')
Alcala (18'), Montes (90')
Soni (65')
Apr 19, 2018 6.30pm
Alaves
1-2
Girona
Pina (90')
Ely (83'), Wakaso (89'), Guidetti (90'), Garcia (90')
Garcia (59'), Stuani (86' pen.)
Bono (80'), Maffeo (89'), Timor (90'), Alcala (90')
rhs 2.0


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