Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Girona |
| 52.21% ( | 23.49% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( | 44.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.69% ( | 67.31% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( | 17.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.48% ( | 47.52% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( | 32.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% ( | 68.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.21% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.3% |