Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Lepe
Girona logo

San Roque de Lepe
1 - 2
Girona

Mizzian (51')
Aguilar (31'), Aguilar (62'), Lopez Bejarano (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (48'), Savio (90+8')
Savio (90+9'), Savio (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between San Roque de Lepe and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Roque de Lepe

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Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for San Roque de Lepe had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.39%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a San Roque de Lepe win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
San Roque de LepeDrawGirona
13.57% (0.367 0.37)20.29% (0.183 0.18)66.14% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Both teams to score 46.8% (0.433 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.3% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.035 0.04)69.53% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
San Roque de Lepe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.06% (0.592 0.59)45.94% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.33% (0.458 0.46)81.67% (-0.45 -0.45)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.145 -0.14)13.44% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (-0.301 -0.3)40.41% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    San Roque de Lepe 13.57%
    Girona 66.14%
    Draw 20.29%
San Roque de LepeDrawGirona
1-0 @ 4.8% (0.072 0.07)
2-1 @ 3.75% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 0.98% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 0.97% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 13.57%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.29%
0-2 @ 12.43% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 12.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.32% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.037 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 66.14%

How you voted: San Roque de Lepe vs Girona

San Roque de Lepe
5.6%
Draw
11.1%
Girona
83.3%
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