Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
46.64% ( 0.04) | 24.93% ( -0.01) | 28.43% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% ( 0.01) | 47.98% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% ( 0.01) | 70.15% ( -0.02) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% ( 0.02) | 20.62% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.82% ( 0.03) | 53.17% ( -0.04) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% ( -0.02) | 30.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% ( -0.02) | 67.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |