Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 37.56% ( | 26.68% ( | 35.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.92% ( | 53.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( | 74.66% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( | 27.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( | 62.88% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( | 28.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( | 64.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.76% |