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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Athletic Bilbao logo

Girona
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Tsygankov (55')
Blind (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (67')
Guruzeta (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Girona's winning run will come to an end at some point, and Athletic have enough quality to triumph on Monday. It is so difficult to back the hosts to lose at the moment, but we are expecting the points to be shared here, as Athletic have also been one of the most impressive sides in the division this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
37.56% (-0.646 -0.65) 26.68% (0.251 0.25) 35.76% (0.395 0.39)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.785 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-1.012 -1.01)53.08% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.868 -0.87)74.66% (0.86799999999999 0.87)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.843 -0.84)27.4% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (-1.105 -1.11)62.88% (1.104 1.1)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)28.47% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.315 -0.32)64.23% (0.314 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Girona 37.55%
    Athletic Bilbao 35.76%
    Draw 26.67%
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.306 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.318 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: Girona vs Athletic Bilbao

Girona
67.1%
Draw
21.6%
Athletic Bilbao
11.4%
167
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
2-3
Girona
Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
Garcia (4'), De Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Girona
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (67'), Martin (75')
Guruzeta (78')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
Dec 10, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Girona
Aduriz (90' pen.)
Etxebarria (55'), Nunez (78'), Capa (81')

Juanpe (83')
Feb 4, 2018 5.30pm
Girona
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (7' pen., 65')
Maffeo (46')

Nunez (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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