La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 10, 2023 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 3
Celta Vigo

Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
59.22% ( -0.42)	23.14% ( 0.18)	17.64% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41% (

-0.34)

51.59% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

-0.3)

73.38% (

0.3)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.89% (

-0.27)

17.11% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.69% (

-0.48)

47.31% (

0.48)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.02% (

0.09)

42.98% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72% (

0.08)

79.27% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 59.21%

Celta Vigo 17.64%

Draw 23.14%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 59.21%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.14%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 17.64%