Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.