Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.25%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.