La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 3, 2024 6.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Rodrygo 35' yellowcard
  • Andriy Lunin 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 78' goal
  • yellowcard Siebe Van der Heyden 1'
  • yellowcard Matija Nastasic 61'
  • yellowcard Pablo Maffeo 70'

Real Madrid vs Mallorca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Alaves 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Mallorca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Mallorca 3 - 2 Osasuna
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Vedat Muriqi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.25%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 77.25% (-0.73)
Draw 14.98% (+0.38)
Mallorca 7.77% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.52% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 60% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 39.99% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 37.64% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 62.35% (+0.48)
Over 4.5 20.28% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 79.72% (+0.38)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 91.45% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 8.55% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 70.43% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 29.56% (+0.68)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5 47.58% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 52.41% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 13.72% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 86.27% (-0.37)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 77.23%
Draw 14.98%
Mallorca 7.77%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 13.54% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 11.11% (-0.20)
1-0 @ 11.01% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.83% (-0.22)
4-1 @ 4.41% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 3.36% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 2.17% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.38% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 77.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.12% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 4.48% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 2.83% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 14.98%
Mallorca
0-1 @ 2.89% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 2.3% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 7.77%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 5, 2023 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Nacho 13' goal
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2022 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Federico Valverde 45'+3' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 72' goal
  • Rodrygo 89' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 90'+3' goal
  • goal Vedat Muriqi 35'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Angel Rodriguez 30' yellowcard
  • Antonio Raillo 69' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maffeo 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 17'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 30'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 52'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 55'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 55'
  • goal Karim Benzema 77'
  • goal Karim Benzema 82'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2021 9.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Karim Benzema 3' goal
  • Marco Asensio 24' goal
  • Marco Asensio 29' goal
  • Rodrygo 47' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 55' goal
  • Nacho 67' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 78' goal
  • Isco 84' goal
  • goal Lee Kang-in 25'
  • yellowcard Iddrisu Baba 57'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Jun 24, 2020 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Santiago Bernabeu
  • Vinicius Junior 19' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 46' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ramos 56' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 80' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ante Budimir 8'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Iberostar Estadi (Palma de Mallorca)
  • Lago Junior 7' goal
  • Joan Sastre 30' yellowcard
  • Iddrisu Baba 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Odriozola 19'
  • redcard Alvaro Odriozola 74'

Build-up

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