Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.