Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 14, 2024 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
Barcelona
  • Vinicius Junior 7' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 10' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 39' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 43' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 64' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 33'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 37'
  • yellowcard Sergi Roberto 39'
  • redcard Ronald Araujo 71'

Real Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Barcelona

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 45.63%
Draw 24.13%
Barcelona 30.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.76%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.53%
Under 2.5 43.47%
Over 3.5 34.13%
Under 3.5 65.87%
Over 4.5 17.62%
Under 4.5 82.38%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 80.77%
Under 0.5 19.23%
Over 1.5 49.07%
Under 1.5 50.93%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 72.75%
Under 0.5 27.25%
Over 1.5 37.32%
Under 1.5 62.68%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 45.63%
Draw 24.13%
Barcelona 30.24%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.13%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-1 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.24%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 11
Barcelona
Oct 28, 2023 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Real Madrid
  • Ilkay Gundogan 6' goal
  • Fermin Lopez 17' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 61'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 68'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 90'+2'
Club Friendlies 1
Barcelona
Jul 29, 2023 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT AT&T Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Ousmane Dembele 15' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 41' yellowcard
  • Jules Kounde 62' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 71' yellowcard
  • Fermin Lopez Marin 85' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 25'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 34'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 45'+3'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 81'
Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Apr 5, 2023 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+1'
  • goal Karim Benzema 50'
  • goal Karim Benzema 58'
  • goal Karim Benzema 80'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Barcelona
Mar 19, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid
  • Sergi Roberto 45' goal
  • Franck Kessie 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ronald Araujo 9' (OG)
Copa del Rey
Real Madrid
Mar 2, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Barcelona
  • goal Eder Militao 26' (OG)
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 15, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Barcelona
  • Karim Benzema 90'+3' goal
  • goal Gavi 33'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 45'
  • goal Pedri 69'

Form Data

Real Madrid 5 - 3 Atletico
Arandina 1 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Mallorca
Alaves 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Villarreal
Union Berlin 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Barcelona 2 - 0 Osasuna
Barbastro 2 - 3 Barcelona
Las Palmas 1 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 2 - 3 America
Barcelona 3 - 2 Almeria
Valencia 1 - 1 Barcelona

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