Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 79.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Barbastro had a probability of 5.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.88%) and 0-3 (13.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Barbastro win it was 1-0 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.