Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
| 25.27% ( | 25.65% ( | 49.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.92% ( | 53.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( | 74.66% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% ( | 36.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.19% ( | 72.81% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( | 21.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( | 54.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-1 @ 6.22% ( 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 3-0 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.27% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0-2 @ 9.13% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0-3 @ 4.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.07% |