Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio A Lomba
Valencia logo

Arosa
0 - 1
Valencia


Carus (37'), Pereira (57'), Pacheco (72'), Miguez (83'), Mella (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yaremchuk (8')
Yaremchuk (37'), Iranzo (75')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Arosa and Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arosa

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Valencia

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arosa had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Arosa win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
ArosaDrawValencia
24.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.76% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)48.75% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)57.71% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.021999999999998 0.02)78.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Arosa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05)39.28% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (0.044 0.04)75.99% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)23.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Arosa 24.5%
    Valencia 48.75%
    Draw 26.75%
ArosaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.86% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 24.5%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 13.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.64% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.75%

How you voted: Arosa vs Valencia

Arosa
8.7%
Draw
0.0%
Valencia
91.3%
23
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!