Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 44.6% ( | 29.85% ( | 25.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.18% ( | 66.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.86% ( | 85.14% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( | 30.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.74% ( | 66.26% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.46% ( | 43.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.26% ( | 79.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 15.73% ( 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.27% Total : 44.59% | 0-0 @ 13.11% ( 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 2-2 @ 3.26% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.84% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 2-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1% Total : 25.55% |