Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
44.6% ( 0.38) | 29.85% ( 0.18) | 25.55% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 39.46% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.18% ( -0.75) | 66.81% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.86% ( -0.51) | 85.14% ( 0.51) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( -0.17) | 30.12% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.74% ( -0.2) | 66.26% ( 0.21) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.46% ( -0.94) | 43.54% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.26% ( -0.79) | 79.74% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 15.73% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 44.59% | 0-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.36) 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.84% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 25.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |