/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgetlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Falmlog.png)
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Diego Rico
24'
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Omar Alderete
28'
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Jose Bordalas
30'
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Mason Greenwood
33'
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Borja Mayoral
45'
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Largie Ramazani
7'
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Edgar Gonzalez
52'
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Leo Baptistao
60'
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Largie Ramazani
63'
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Iddrisu Baba
64'
Getafe vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F33%2Fjose-bordalas.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result
Getafe
46.5%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
26.53%
▲
(+0.08)
Almeria
26.97%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.96%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.72%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
55.28%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
23.5%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 3.5
76.5%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
10.42%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
89.58%
▲
(+0.13)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5
76.25%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
23.75%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
42.11%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
57.89%
▲
(+0.23)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5
64.21%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
35.79%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
27.44%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
72.56%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Getafe
46.49%
Draw
26.52%
Almeria
26.98%
Getafe
1-0
@
12.21%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.49%
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.49%
Draw
1-1
@
12.55%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.52%
0-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.52%
Almeria
0-1
@
8.73%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.98%
1-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.98%
