La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Nov 25, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Perez

Getafe
2 - 1
Almeria

Greenwood (33'), Mayoral (45')
Rico (24'), Alderete (28'), Bordalas (30')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ramazani (7')
Gonzalez (52'), Baptistao (60'), Ramazani (63'), Baba (64')

Reaction

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Nov 28, 16:43

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Sociedad
Saturday, November 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Almeria
46.5% ( -0.1)	26.53% ( 0.07)	26.97% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.72% (

-0.25)

55.28% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

-0.2)

76.5% (

0.2)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25% (

-0.16)

23.75% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.11% (

-0.23)

57.89% (

0.22)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21% (

-0.11)

35.79% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44% (

-0.11)

72.56% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Getafe 46.49%

Almeria 26.98%

Draw 26.52%

Getafe	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.49%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.98%