Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 8.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
| 74.04% ( | 17.07% ( | 8.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( | 45.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( | 68.09% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.2% ( | 10.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.17% ( | 34.83% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.38% ( | 53.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.96% ( | 87.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
| 2-0 @ 14.34% ( 1-0 @ 12.88% ( 3-0 @ 10.64% ( 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 4-0 @ 5.92% ( 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 5-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 6-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 74.03% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 2-2 @ 2.79% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 17.07% | 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 8.88% |