La Liga Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2023 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 51' goal
  • Nico Williams 64' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 49'

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2023 8.00pm
Granada 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 10, 2023 1.00pm
Atletico 2 - 1 Almeria
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 48.36% (+0.05)
Draw 24.45% (-0.01)
Atletico Madrid 27.19% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.54% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.25% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 46.75% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.99% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 69.01% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.36% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.64% (+0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 80.6% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.4% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.79% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.21% (-0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 68.91% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.09% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 32.59% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 67.41% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 48.36%
Draw 24.45%
Atletico Madrid 27.19%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.89% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.03% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.45%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.19%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Antoine Griezmann 73' goal
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 47'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mario Hermoso 8' goal
  • Dani Garcia 25' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 56' goal
  • Inaki Williams 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 1'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 18'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 71'
Supercopa de Espana
Jan 13, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Giuliano Simeone 62' goal
  • Sime Vrsaljko 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Yeray Alvarez 77'
  • goal Nico Williams 81'
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 83'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 90'
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 90'+1'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 36' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 78' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 78' redcard
  • Stefan Savic 79' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Garcia 30'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Williams Arthuer 82'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Berenguer 8' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 44' yellowcard
  • Unai Vencedor 61' yellowcard
  • Dani Garcia 66' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 86' goal
  • Unai Lopez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 11'
  • goal Stefan Savic 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 81'