Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Yeclano Deportivo had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Yeclano Deportivo win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.

Result
Yeclano Deportivo	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
12.69% ( 0.6)	19.51% ( 0.69)	67.8% ( -1.29)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06% (

-1.55)

45.93% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75% (

-1.49)

68.24% (

1.48)

Yeclano Deportivo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.52% (

0.01)

46.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.91% (

0.01)

82.08% (

-0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.46% (

-0.82)

12.54% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.42% (

-1.71)

38.57% (

1.71)

Score Analysis

Yeclano Deportivo 12.69%

Rayo Vallecano 67.79%

Draw 19.51%

Yeclano Deportivo	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.11% Total : 12.69%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.51%	0-2 @ 12.56% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.69% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 6.66% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 4.51% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 3.46% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) Other @ 3% Total : 67.79%