Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
| 37.26% ( | 28.11% ( | 34.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.3% ( | 58.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.76% ( | 79.24% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( | 30.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( | 66.48% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( | 31.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( | 68.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% ( 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.62% |