Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 17.34% ( | 20.61% ( | 62.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.69% ( | 41.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.29% ( | 63.71% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% ( | 37.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.98% ( | 74.03% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( | 12.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.93% ( | 39.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 4.78% ( 1-0 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 3-1 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 17.34% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.61% | 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0-3 @ 6.91% ( 1-3 @ 6.82% ( 0-4 @ 3.55% ( 1-4 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0-5 @ 1.46% ( 1-5 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.45% Total : 62.06% |