Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 39.34% ( | 27.09% ( | 33.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% ( | 54.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( | 76.26% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( | 27.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( | 62.73% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( | 30.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% ( | 67.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.57% |