Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.