Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Heliodoro Rodriguez Lopez
Las Palmas

Tenerife
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Amo (4'), Cruz (21')
Williams (28'), Sanz (29'), Amo (48'), Nacho (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

A (23'), Araujo (76')
Araujo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Tenerife and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leganes 1-1 Tenerife
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
TenerifeDrawLas Palmas
48.12% (0.26300000000001 0.26)27.26% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)24.61% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 45.04% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62% (0.158 0.16)59.38% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24% (0.123 0.12)79.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.19799999999999 0.2)24.78% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.273 0.27)59.36% (-0.27 -0.27)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)40.12% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)76.76% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Tenerife 48.11%
    Las Palmas 24.61%
    Draw 27.26%
TenerifeDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 24.61%

How you voted: Tenerife vs Las Palmas

Tenerife
11.8%
Draw
47.1%
Las Palmas
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Tenerife
4-1
Las Palmas
Gallego (1', 5'), Rubio (45+1'), Nacho (90+5' pen.)
Jimenez (81')
Nov 26, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 17
Las Palmas
3-1
Tenerife
Pejino (39', 57'), Andone (89')
Dauda (90+3')
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Las Palmas
1-2
Tenerife
Curbelo (71')
Viera (31'), Navas (45+5')
Pejino (90+6')
Gallego (4', 45+6')
Sanz (21'), Gallego (72'), Pomares (90+3')
Jun 1, 2022 8pm
Jan 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Tenerife
0-1
Las Palmas

Sanz (58')
Rodriguez (72')
Diez (45+2'), Raul (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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