Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club de Ferrol would win this match.