Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 47.13%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.04%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.