Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 45.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.