Segunda Division | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Heliodoro Rodriguez Lopez

Tenerife
2 - 1
Burgos

Lopez (64'), Gallego (69' pen.)
Dauda (37'), Corredera (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Curro (77' pen.)
Andy (15'), Cordoba (45+4'), Elgezabal (56'), Munoz (67')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Tenerife and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tenerife

All competitions
Last Game: Tenerife 2-0 Racing
Tuesday, October 3 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Leganes
Wednesday, October 4 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.8%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
TenerifeDrawBurgos
55.67% (0.688 0.69)27.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.97% (-0.685 -0.69)
Both teams to score 35.88% (-0.981 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.82% (-0.677 -0.68)66.18% (0.67700000000001 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.3% (-0.465 -0.47)84.7% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23%58.77%
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.43% (-1.299 -1.3)52.57% (1.299 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.63% (-0.85 -0.85)86.37% (0.851 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Tenerife 55.66%
    Burgos 16.97%
    Draw 27.35%
TenerifeDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 18.08% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 12.76% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2%
Total : 55.66%
0-0 @ 12.8% (0.31 0.31)
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 2.64% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 16.97%

Head to Head
May 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 41
Tenerife
2-1
Burgos
Dauda (79'), Rubio (90+5')
Corredera (35'), Teto (50'), Sanz (58'), Ruiz (68'), Nacho (82')
Campos (40')
Matos (90+2')
Nov 5, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Burgos
0-1
Tenerife
Zorrilla (79' pen.)
Mar 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burgos
1-0
Tenerife
Rubio (62')
Navarro (64'), Alarcon (90')

Larrea (38'), Gallego (51')
Nov 1, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 13
Tenerife
4-0
Burgos
Mollejo (5'), Shashoua (41'), Bermejo (54'), Gallego (81')
Bermejo (53'), Munoz (71'), Ruiz (90+2')

Grego (26')