Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
  • Maranhao 6' goal
  • Monchu 41' goal
  • Victor Meseguer 68' goal
  • Sergio Escudero 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rosa 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Ojeda 53'
  • yellowcard Miki Munoz 69'

Real Valladolid vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 3.15pm
Real Oviedo 0 - 1 Valladolid
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Mamadou Sylla

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 5.30pm
Burgos 4 - 0 Elche
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Curro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result

Real Valladolid 51.17% (-0.46)
Draw 26.67% (+0.11)
Burgos 22.15% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.15% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.75% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.25% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.34% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 79.66% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 8.53% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.47% (+0.02)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 76.68% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 23.32% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 42.73% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 57.27% (+0.33)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 57.57% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 42.42% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 21.2% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 78.8% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Real Valladolid 51.16%
Draw 26.68%
Burgos 22.15%
Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 14.4% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 10.48% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.89% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.68%
Burgos
0-1 @ 8.48% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 5.3% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.64% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.51% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.15%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 8, 2022 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cristo 81' goal
  • yellowcard Grego 34'
  • yellowcard Jose Matos 41'
Segunda Division Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Miguel Rubio 4' yellowcard
  • Jose Antonio Caro 34' yellowcard
  • J. Garcia 36' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 40' goal
  • Juan Manuel Garcia Garcia 42' goal
  • Aitor Cordoba Kerejeta 50' yellowcard
  • Unai Elgezabal 58' yellowcard
  • Saul Berjon 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Vallejo 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Olaza 90'+2'