Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 48.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.