Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 27, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos
0 - 1
Lugo

FT(HT: 0-1)
Moyano (45+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Tenerife 2-1 Burgos
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Lugo

All competitions
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Huesca
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
BurgosDrawLugo
54.08% (0.049000000000007 0.05)26.1% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)19.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.52% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)22.17% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.91% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)45.09% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.99% (-0.026 -0.03)81.01% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 54.07%
    Lugo 19.81%
    Draw 26.1%
BurgosDrawLugo
1-0 @ 15.05%
2-0 @ 11.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 19.81%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 12
Lugo
2-0
Burgos
Rodriguez (30'), Ramos (46')
Juanpe (9')
Jan 29, 2022 5.15pm
gameweek 25
Lugo
1-0
Burgos
Cuellar (71')
Alende (54'), Angel Carrillo (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 5.15pm
gameweek 10
Burgos
1-1
Lugo
Grego (8')
Andy (33'), Munoz (58'), Rodriguez (79')
Angel Carrillo (39')
Torres (43'), Campabadal (44'), Alende (50')