Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Villarreal II
40.96% ( 0.05)	27.98% ( -0.2)	31.06% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 46.99% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.15% (

0.74)

58.85% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64% (

0.57)

79.35% (

-0.57)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

0.38)

28.22% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

0.48)

63.92% (

-0.48)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

0.5)

34.53% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

0.53)

71.25% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Burgos 40.95%

Villarreal II 31.05%

Draw 27.97%

Burgos	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.95%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.23% Total : 31.05%