Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.