Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 35.48%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Albacete win was 0-1 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.