Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.06%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.