Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz

Tenerife
2 - 1
Burgos

Dauda (79'), Rubio (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campos (40')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Tenerife and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tenerife

All competitions
Last Game: FC Andorra 1-0 Tenerife
Sunday, May 14 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Burgos 0-3 Leganes
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.06%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
TenerifeDrawBurgos
56.88% (0.532 0.53)26.6% (-0.291 -0.29)16.52% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 36.77% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.44% (0.55399999999999 0.55)64.56% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.42% (0.389 0.39)83.58% (-0.387 -0.39)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (0.47200000000001 0.47)23.12% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (0.687 0.69)56.98% (-0.686 -0.69)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.83% (0.019000000000005 0.02)52.17% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.88% (0.012 0.01)86.12% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tenerife 56.87%
    Burgos 16.52%
    Draw 26.6%
TenerifeDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 17.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.93% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.088 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 56.87%
0-0 @ 12.06% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.74% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 16.52%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 15
Burgos
0-1
Tenerife

Grego (2')
Zorrilla (79' pen.)
Mar 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 33
Burgos
1-0
Tenerife
Rubio (62')
Navarro (64'), Alarcon (90')

Larrea (38'), Gallego (51')
Nov 1, 2021 5.15pm
gameweek 13
Tenerife
4-0
Burgos
Mollejo (5'), Shashoua (41'), Bermejo (54'), Gallego (81')
Bermejo (53'), Munoz (71'), Ruiz (90+2')

Grego (26')