Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.