Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.