Segunda Division | Gameweek 32

Mar 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Anduva

Mirandes
2 - 3
Eibar

Garcia (23'), Gelabert (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aketxe (60'), Rahmani (63'), Bautista (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Segunda Division clash between Mirandes and Eibar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirandes

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Gijon 3-4 Mirandes
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eibar

All competitions

Last Game: Eibar 1-0 Burgos
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Eibar
30.41% ( 0.51)	29.41% ( 0.36)	40.17% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 42.91% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.18% (

-0.99)

63.81% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.95% (

-0.71)

83.05% (

0.71)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.29% (

-0.15)

37.71% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51% (

-0.15)

74.49% (

0.14)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

-1)

31.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

-1.19)

67.45% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 30.41%

Eibar 40.16%

Draw 29.41%

Mirandes	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 30.41%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.41%	0-1 @ 13.69% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.16%