Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.