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Segunda Division | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
0 - 2
Alcorcon


Meseguer (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (35'), Sousa (90+4')
Brice Eteki (23'), Obieta (38'), Artola (69'), Morillas (79')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Valladolid and Alcorcon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaragoza 1-0 Valladolid
Friday, August 18 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alcorcon 0-2 Leganes
Saturday, August 19 at 9pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAlcorcon
38.97% (-1.218 -1.22)28.55% (0.347 0.35)32.48% (0.87 0.87)
Both teams to score 45.78% (-0.745 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.45% (-1.033 -1.03)60.55% (1.033 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34% (-0.79 -0.79)80.66% (0.789 0.79)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (-1.217 -1.22)30.19% (1.216 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (-1.481 -1.48)66.35% (1.481 1.48)
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (0.073999999999998 0.07)34.41% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (0.079000000000001 0.08)71.12% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 38.97%
    Alcorcon 32.47%
    Draw 28.54%
Real ValladolidDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 12.44% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.388 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 11.08% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.249 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 32.47%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 33
Alcorcon
1-2
Valladolid
Rivas (39')
Angel (63')
Mesa (3'), Monchu (32')
Sanchez (41'), Fernandez (86')
Sep 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Valladolid
2-0
Alcorcon
Aguado (19'), Weissman (86')
Leon (2'), Mesa (80')

Gorosito (69')
Mar 10, 2018 5pm
Alcorcon
0-0
Valladolid
Toribio (50')
Borja (89')
Oct 12, 2017 5pm
Valladolid
4-0
Alcorcon
Mata (41', 87'), Michel (60'), Gianniotas (90')

Sangalli (23'), Lazaro (38')