Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 36%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.