Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.16%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.